
Image from: Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Welcome to the 6th Annual Prediction Show! Most commonly known as my futile attempt to prevent stress and disappointment by trying to predict when I should stop reading about Notre Dame.
Anyway, before we get started, as always, a shout out to all of you that had major life changes this past year. The many births, weddings, job changes, travels, relocations, house purchases, retirements…Congrats to all!!
Again, thanks to you for taking the time to spend a few seconds reading this and not deleting from your inbox.
This feels rather sentimental. I better stop.
Without further ado, I bring you the 2011 Notre Dame Football Preview.
Overview:
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ended the 2010 season on a very high note. In a span of 2 months, ND wiped the slate clean by beating the Trojans and winning a bowl game.
My prognosis after the Sun Bowl was of cautious optimism. The defense was actually looking like Division I defense. While the offense was not ‘lighting it up’, at least it was the doing the most sensible thing: giving the rock to #3. This somewhat good feeling continued on for the spring, as clips of Aaron Lynch and Louis Nix started showing up on Youtube.
With the dawn of fall upon us, I feeling quite cheery about this team. The old cliches are coming true with this team: ‘Defense wins championships’ and ‘winning start with the lines’.
B. Kelly has been addressing a lot of the issues that this team had in the last couple of years. The turnaround is not complete by any means, but the arrows are pointing up.
2011 Notre Dame Season:
Game 1: South Florida at #16 Notre Dame (0-0)
The return of alum Skip Holtz to ND. At least Lou is not picking the Irish on this one, which bodes well for the Irish. Openers are always tricky as emotions are high and execution is unknown. As always, the defenses will look sharper for the first game. It will be a sloppy game with a slew of 3 and outs. This will give NBC the opportunity to turn this game into a 4.5 hour commercial party. The ‘healthy’ gentleman with the orange mitts will be a busy man.
Once again, the defense and more importantly, Manti Te’o, are called to win the game for ND. The debut of Aaron Lynch goes according to plan. He is confined to 3rd downs and shows his potential. Crist ‘manages’ the game for a solid performance going 19-31 for 256 yards. while the running game comes up with 145 yards.
Final score: Notre Dame 27 – South Florida -16
Game 2: Notre Dame at Meeechigan (1-0)
First night game in Meechigan’s history. Both teams are rocking the ‘retro’ look, which can be described as ‘hideous’. ND checks in at #14 in the polls. This is very dangerous territory. Not quite elite and this game could be trap game. Meeechigan’s QB torched the Irish for almost 1 million miles in 2010 and while he has not been taught to tie his shoes (that is a 400 level course at Meeechigan), he ‘ain’t slow’…
The gameplan is simple: contain QB#16. No problem, Manti has been eyeing this game for sometime. He and the Irish D are ready to win this game. Dayne Crist and WR#3 finally ‘wake up’ from the offseason.
Crist: 27-45 for 327 and 4 scores with Floyd catching a 11 balls for 172 and 2 TDs.
Final Score: Notre Dame 34 – Meechigan 24
Game 3: Michigan State at Notre Dame (2-0)
This is the classic ‘letdown’ game. The Irish are coming from a good win on the road and all the talk about BCS and ‘being back’ can be a major block.
Before I continue with this breakdown… I needed to get this off my chest: The playclock was at 0 for at least 2 seconds.
One thing is for sure, Sparty will bring it. The power run game will be humming and the Irish D will have their hands full. While Louis Nix will be able to clog the middle for a bit, the pounding will take its toll. By the 4th quarter, the D will be tired and unable to stop Sparty. On the offensive side of the ball, Crist gets frustrated by the zone defense. For the 2nd year in the row, ND falls to MSU. The entire offense sputters. Dayne looks pedestrian throwing for 258 and 1 TD and 2 picks.
Final score: MSU 24 – Notre Dame 17
Game 4: Notre Dame (2-1) at Pitt
A moment of silence for our departed comrade: The Stache. It was a great topic of discussion for this preview and it will be truly missed, The Stache is gone and part of the fun of playing Pitt is gone as well. What else can we discuss about Pitt? I am lost here…
Anyway, Pitt has a new coach (ex-headman at Tulsa), and they might be sneaky good. Or maybe I am thinking of last year when the Irish lost to Tulsa due to a brain freeze by B. Kelly.
The key question here is whether ND can rebound after a poor performance against Sparty? The answer is yes.
Dayne Crist is efficient, improving his play as the season progresses. He passes for 289 and 2 TD’s and Floyd leads the receivers with 115 yards.
Final Score: Notre Dame 33 – Pitt 24
Game 5: Notre Dame (3-1) at Purdue
The Irish are still in the hunt for a BCS at-large berth. With that, the expectations are also sky high and they are meeting them. Notre Dame is beating the opponents that is expected and that lead to our next opponent: Purdue. They have given us some trouble in the past, but seems that ND has turned the corner. Purdue on the other hand, seems to be sliding even more. Long are the days of ‘Basketball on grass’. ND big in this night game.
Crist: 23-38 for 330 and 4 TDs
Floyd: 12 receptions for 220
Final Score: Notre Dame 45 – Purdue 17
Game 6: Air Force at Notre Dame (4-1)
Here it comes… Another chance for B. Diaco to prove that he can master defending the option. Like I have saying before, Diaco fire up the PS3 or Xbox and run through some games (R2 it up) using Navy or Army or Air Force and see how you do it. It can do wonders…
Manti Te’o – 16 tackles
Crist – 279 yds and 3 scores
Wood – 17 carries for 115 2 TDs
Final Score: Notre Dame 35 – Air Force 19
Game 7: SC at Notre Dame (5-1)
Another night game for the Irish, but this time in the Bend. First night game at Notre Dame for a very long time, if you don’t count those late starts in Nov. (since by then it is already night time in IN). Finally, we get to see what the crowd noise can be with a full day of tailgating and the excitement of a night game. Oh, never mind…The Indiana Excise Police will be in full force arresting anyone that thinks about having any fun. Also, the late start will have all the ‘older’ alumni complaining that it is messing up their dinner reservations. Half the stadium will leave by the 3rd quarter…. Book it!
Back to the game prediction: With a clean slate after last year’s win, the pressure is off. That does not mean and Notre Dame plays loose. Instead, the pressure of playing with a BCS berth hanging, the Irish play ‘tight’. Also, it does not help that SC is actually a pretty good team with a future NFL’er in Matt Barkey. While Notre Dame can solve teams that are somewhat one-dimensional, the Irish will struggle with teams that can run and pass. In other words, Manti cannot save the day.
Hate to say this, but the streak continues at home…
Final Score: USC 31 - Notre Dame 27
Game 8: Navy at Notre Dame (5-2)
The real streak that needs to end. The Middies have won 2 straight and 3 of the last 4. As always, Navy plays a great version of the option. The HC needs to keep the team focused after the big loss to SC. If the team go through the motions like it has for the last few years, the fullback dive will be an image that will scar every fan for a long time.
No worries, this team is focused and will rebound back. Also, B. Diaco has learned from previous mistakes by playing NCAA 12…
Crist: 18-28 for 223 and 2 TDs
Floyd: 7 receptions for 89
Te’o: 15 tackles
Final Score: Notre Dame 27 – Navy 17
Game 9: Notre Dame (6-2) at Wake Forest
I guess ND needed to fill the slate. Nothing says late fall, like a match up with the Demon Deacons in one of the smallest stadiums in FBS. At least, it is not at ND because you couldn’t sell out this baby…
No contest here, unless Tim Duncan dresses up. The 3rd stringers are in by the 3rd quarter.
Final Score: Notre Dame 45- Wake Forest 13
Game 10: Maryland at Notre Dame (7-2) – FedEx Field
ND embarks on their barnstorming ‘shinding’. While the game is not a headliner, it provides ND the chance to once again be on primetime and be close to recruits from the East Coast. Maryland had just gone through a coaching change, and might not be ready to face the Irish. With a BCS berth still in their sights, Manti will keep them focused. By the way. he is also on track to solve world hunger.
The Manti stay for your senior year campaign is in full force
Crist – 22-35- 310
Floyd – 9 receptions – 96 yards and 2 scores
Final Score: Notre Dame 31 – Maryland 20
Game 11: BC at Notre Dame (8-2 )
As in previous years, my personal policy is in effect. W
Game 12: Notre Dame (9-2) at Stanford
BCS bowl game on the line. Last time ND was in this position, Jim and I had a ‘suicide pact’ if we lost to Stanford. I don’t think we will have the same this year. Their QB is pretty good. While Stanford lost their HC, they will still play a hard nosed style of football that gave ND fits. Once again, the D will keep ND in this one. While the offense will gain yards, the struggles in the redzone will be blatant on this one. That will be the difference in this game.
The Cardinal convert their opportunities into TDs.
Crist: 20-37 for 271 and 2 TD’s (2 INT’s)
Final Score: Stanford 35 – Notre Dame 27
Regular Season: 9-3 (#22)
Notre Dame finishes the regular season with a surprising 9-3 record. ND was in the hunt for a BCS bowl all year long and that is what fans expect out of the Irish. Progress from the past season is also a reason for optimism.
ND goes on to play Va. Tech in the Champ Sports Bowl. Most importantly, Manti decides to stay for his senior season.